MLB Betting FAQ
Everything you need to know about MLB betting, odds, and strategy.
The run line is baseball's point spread, set at 1.5 runs. The favorite (-1.5) must win by 2+ runs, while the underdog (+1.5) can lose by 1 run or win. Run line odds vary based on game context and pitching matchups.
MLB moneylines are the most common bet type. Simply pick the winner. Since baseball is lower-scoring, moneyline odds range widely from -300 favorites to +250 underdogs depending on pitching matchups.
MLB totals are bets on combined runs scored. Totals typically range from 7-10 runs. Weather, ballpark factors, bullpen usage, and starting pitchers all heavily influence totals.
F5 bets only count the first 5 innings, isolating the starting pitcher matchup and avoiding bullpen variance. Great for games with strong starters but unreliable bullpens.
Wind direction is crucial. Wind blowing out increases scoring significantly (bet overs), wind blowing in suppresses runs. Heat and humidity help ball carry. Rain delays impact bullpen usage and game flow.
Coors Field (COL) is extreme for hitters. Other hitter parks: Great American (CIN), Globe Life (TEX). Pitcher parks: Oracle Park (SF), Petco (SD), T-Mobile (SEA). Always factor park effects.
Yes, Coors Field in Denver (5,280 ft) dramatically increases offense. Balls carry further, breaking pitches don't break as much. Totals in Denver are often 11-13 runs. The Rockies bullpen is historically exploitable.
Lineups are typically released 2-4 hours before first pitch. Lines can move significantly based on rest days, platoon matchups, and late scratches. Wait for lineups if they matter to your bet.
Starting pitching is the single most important factor. Track ERA, FIP, xFIP, WHIP, and recent form. Also consider handedness splits - some hitters crush lefties but struggle vs righties (or vice versa).
MLB has high variance - even bad teams win 35-40% of games. Underdogs with quality starting pitching often provide value. Don't overbet heavy favorites (-200 or worse).