Understanding Betting Odds
Betting odds tell you two things: how much you can win and the implied probability of an outcome. Understanding odds is fundamental to sports betting — it's how you identify value and make informed decisions.
American Odds Explained
American odds (also called moneyline odds) are displayed with a plus (+) or minus (-) sign:
- Negative odds (-110): How much you need to bet to win $100
- Positive odds (+150): How much you win on a $100 bet
At -110, you risk $110 to win $100. At +150, you risk $100 to win $150.
Why Isn't It Just Even Money?
If you've ever wondered why a "50/50" bet like a point spread is -110 on both sides instead of +100, you've discovered the vig (short for vigorish), also called juice.
The vig is the sportsbook's built-in commission. At -110/-110, both sides have 52.38% implied probability — totaling 104.76%. That extra 4.76% is the house edge.
This is why long-term profitable betting requires winning more than 50% of your bets. At standard -110 juice, you need to win 52.4% of bets just to break even.
Decimal Odds
Popular in Europe and easier to calculate. Decimal odds show your total return (including your stake) per $1 wagered.
- 1.91 = Risk $1 to get back $1.91 total (profit of $0.91)
- 2.50 = Risk $1 to get back $2.50 total (profit of $1.50)
To calculate payout: Stake × Decimal Odds = Total Return
Fractional Odds
Common in UK betting. The fraction shows profit relative to stake.
- 10/11 = Win $10 for every $11 staked
- 3/2 = Win $3 for every $2 staked
Implied Probability
Every betting line has an implied probability — the likelihood the sportsbook is pricing into the odds. This is crucial for finding value.
Formulas:
- Negative American:
Odds / (Odds + 100) × 100 - Positive American:
100 / (Odds + 100) × 100 - Decimal:
1 / Decimal Odds × 100
How Parlay Odds Work
A parlay combines multiple bets into one. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out. The odds multiply together, creating potentially large payouts — but the probability of winning decreases with each leg.
To calculate parlay odds, convert each leg to decimal, multiply them together, then convert back to your preferred format.
Example 2-leg parlay at -110 each:
- Leg 1: -110 = 1.909 decimal
- Leg 2: -110 = 1.909 decimal
- Combined: 1.909 × 1.909 = 3.644 decimal = +264 American
Important: While parlay payouts look attractive, the vig compounds with each leg. A 2-leg parlay at -110/-110 has 8.8% vig, not 4.55%.
Finding Value in Odds
Value exists when the true probability of an outcome is higher than what the odds imply. If you believe a team has a 55% chance to win, but the odds imply only 50%, that's a value bet.
Professional bettors don't just pick winners — they find mispriced lines where the edge is in their favor over thousands of bets.